The luck of newbies is often called a phenomenon in which the newcomer in any kind of becomes inexplicable and disproportionately successful in relation to professionals and experts in this field of activity. It would be logical to expect that the pro should surpass a novice, whereas in fact it often happens. From here and the need for a term that would describe this phenomenon. Most often, this concept applies to the first attempt in sports or gambling, but also used in a variety of other contexts. Also, the phrase “novice is lucky” often refers to people who do not have any experience in what they are involved, how, for example, to a person who plays for the first time in life in the online casino top and then tears the jackpot.

Does this phenomenon actually depend on or not, there are many explanations.

  • The luck of newbies is due to the differences in the behavior of the player and voltage in the game. Since the novice player is inexperienced, therefore, no one expects great success. This means that the player does not affect the tension due to the desire for victory, which allows him to relax and focus on the game much stronger than a professional striving for indispensable success. This contradicts the so-called “Rosental Effect”, which implies that those who are imposed on expectations, justify them.

  • In a competitive game, an experienced player expects a certain sequence of actions from his opponent in a particular situation and in accordance with this builds its strategy. This is especially true for card games, chess and so on. However, the newbie does not have a specific game skills, and he often cannot understand what action would be the best. An experienced player is causing surprise and he cannot correctly predict or interpret the actions of his opponent, while losing the advantage.

  • Experts in the game themselves believe in luck of newbies, as they experienced such an inexplicable good luck, when they themselves were newbies. Suppose that one hundred newbies participated in the game and half of them won. Yes, it will be an accident, but the winning half will be more interested in the game and in the future will become experts, while the loser half, most likely, will lose interest and will not play again. Thus, in any game, “experts” will believe in good luck of newbies, simply because they experienced luck on themselves, being newcomers.


  • The following theory is that the acquisition of any skill involves certain restrictions in the actions available for students. In the early stages of this process, a practically unlimited number of possible actions is available to a person on inexperience. Although almost all of them are ineffective, the likelihood of random and extremely successful action is much higher than those who are in the middle of the process of assimilating skills. This is due to the fact that the average player remembers the basic set of possible actions and practically does not go beyond these frames.

  • Faith in the fact that newcomers are lucky, can come from a tendency to confirm your own point of view – those cases in which the novice is extremely lucky, for a long time is remembered by the other players, while the losses will quickly rise like something natural.

Job luck usually ends as soon as a person is already a little gaining experience and is involved in the game, and his freedom of choice of action on inexperience is replaced by the adherence to the nuances of the game.